the Strait of Hormuz<\/a>, a vital waterway through which 20% of the world\u2019s oil passed before the war, remains at a virtual standstill and oil prices continue to rise.<\/p>\nU.S. Central Command said U.S. warships are setting conditions to reopen a safe passage after Iran laid mines in the key shipping lane. Meanwhile, Trump said the U.S. would impose its own blockade on the Strait, accusing Iran of trying to extort vessels for passage.<\/p>\n
\u201cEffective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz,” he wrote on Truth Social. In a second post, he again accused Iran of seeking to block the Strait, despite saying he would blockade it himself.<\/p>\n
But with Iran retaining leverage over the strait and the risk to tankers unresolved, attention turns to what comes next. Analysts say the failure in Islamabad reflects deeper, long-standing divisions that go far beyond a single round of talks.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt is no surprise that the U.S.-Iran talks did not end in a diplomatic breakthrough,\u201d Fawaz Gerges, a professor of international relations at the London School of Economics, told NBC News.<\/p>\n
The Iranian side sees the Strait of Hormuz as \u201ctheir most potent weapon,\u201d he added, while the Americans want it to \u201copen now.\u201d A U.S. insistence that Tehran limit uranium enrichment and turn over its current stockpile, meanwhile, is a \u201cnonstarter\u201d for the Iranians, he said.<\/p>\n
Vance and his team went into the negotiating session really asking the Iranians \u201cto capitulate,\u201d Gerges said. \u201cThe Iranians will say, \u2018You haven\u2019t defeated Iran. We will not surrender, we want to bargain, we want to negotiate, because we have asserted our control over the Strait of Hormuz.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n
Danny Citrinowicz, a senior researcher on Iran at the Institute for National Security Studies, which is affiliated with Tel Aviv University in Israel, said that both sides had come to the table with the assumption they had won.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt\u2019s not that the Iranians want escalation, but I think that for them, they prefer escalation to dictation,\u201d he said. \u201cThey think that they have the upper hand.\u201d<\/p>\n
While Vance said the \u201cfinal\u201d U.S. offer was on the table, Citrinowicz said that there is \u201cno doubt behind the scenes mediators are trying to reach common ground.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cYou cannot, after 21 hours, say it\u2019s all over,\u201d he said. \u201cThese are complex issues.\u201d<\/p>\n
The 2015 nuclear agreement took almost two years to be finalized, Gerges noted, and that was not sealed during a war. \u201cI think there\u2019s a long way to go,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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