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Wall Street sees a frozen housing market as the death knell for iBuying, but EMJ Capital founder Eric Jackson views it as the ultimate catalyst for Opendoor Technologies Inc..
With shares trading at $4.31, Jackson is maintaining a staggering $82 price target, representing an 1,802.55% upside, arguing that the market is mispricing a radical corporate transformation.
Jackson asserts that the current 6.33% mortgage rate environment hasn’t destroyed housing demand; it has merely delayed it. “He is describing deferred demand. Not destroyed demand. Deferred,” Jackson wrote in his Substack post, citing his sources from Main Street.
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When rates eventually drop, Opendoor’s newly rebuilt infrastructure will be perfectly positioned to capture the coiled volume.
Acknowledging the stock’s recent volatility, massive headline losses, and dilution, Jackson remains unfazed by the bearish sentiment.
“Turnarounds are messy. That’s why they’re cheap,” Jackson stated, comparing Opendoor’s current state to Carvana Co.‘s historic rebound. “The straight line was always a lie.”
Opendoor’s new CEO was going to buy the entire company. Instead, he’s rebuilding it in public.
I built my position at $0.73. Published my $82 target at $0.87. The stock hit $10.87.
Now it’s back at $4.31. Here’s why I still believe in $82 (…and $200 and $500).
— Eric Jackson (@ericjackson) April 10, 2026
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The core of Jackson’s thesis rests on Kaz Nejatian, Opendoor’s new CEO. Nejatian recently left his role as COO of Shopify Inc.—a $200 billion tech giant—to run the $3 billion real estate firm for a $1 annual base salary.
“A COO in line to run a $200B company doesn’t leave for a $3B company unless he sees something extraordinary,” Jackson noted. “That’s not a career move. That’s a conviction bet.”
Under Nejatian, Opendoor has fundamentally altered its operations. The company slashed its headcount per transaction from 11 employees to just 1, relying heavily on AI. Within seven months, acquisition velocity surged 4.2x, and Opendoor produced the most profitable October cohort in company history.